2017年10月4日水曜日



Draft for the paper to be contributed to the forthcoming book (UK)

Keynes toward the International Monetary System

– Internationalism, the British Empire Interests and Pragmatism



Toshiaki Hirai
(Sophia University)

(Abstract)

In July 1940 the Chancellor of the Exchequer’s Consultative Council was set up “to help and advise the Chancellor on special problems arising from war conditions”. Keynes accepted membership of the Council, thereby becoming deeply involved in Treasury matters. Thus he was to find himself engaged in a range of important assignments, as we will see shortly.
  This paper mainly explores Keynes’s activities vis-à-vis the new international system, while taking into consideration the other international activities he attended to at the same time, such as the Commodity problem, the Relief and Reconstruction problem, and Financial Negotiation with the US.
  The paper examines the “Keynes Plan” and the “White Plan” to begin with. We will then follow how the two plans were dealt with through the negotiations between the US and the UK. Finally we will evaluate Keynes’s work from the perspective of the three aspects indicated above in the subtitle. The main focus is on the features of Keynes’s original scheme and Keynes as a negotiator, which piece together the picture of his worldview.
                                ***
Keynes’s feature examined here is summarized as follows. 
How should we evaluate the Anglo-American Draft Statement (or the final agreement concluded at the Savannah Conference in 1946)? The reality belied Keynes’s declared admiration, which he came to reach through the following long and painful negotiations.
Around April 1943 Keynes agreed that the White Plan should be a starter, so he prepared a memorandum in June based on it, putting his International Clearing Plan on the shelf. In the meeting in Washington in October Keynes made a great effort for unitas monetization but in vain. Furthermore, in December 1943 he expressed the view that there should be no need to adhere to the monetization; the need was, rather, to think about the transitional period (it was in April 1944 that the UK gave up the idea of monetisation). Keynes came to appreciate the IMF system not only as a concrete example of international agreement (February 1944), but also as “the dog of mixed origin” (May).
  Thus Keynes failed to have the essential elements of the ICU Plan incorporated into the White Plan. Keynes’s strategy dramatically shifted to how the UK could get financial assistance from the US in the transitional period.

(Table of Contents) 7200 wds


I. International Monetary System

1. Basic Setting

2. The International Clearing Union (the Keynes Plan)

2-1. Process up until the 28 August 1942 Plan
2-2. Principal Features of the Keynes Plan (28 August 1942)

3. International Stabilization Fund (the White Plan)

4. The Two Plans Compared

4-1. August 1942- April 1943: nuanced relationship between the UK and the US
4-2. The ICU Plan
4-3. The Two Plans Reviewed

5. The Process of Integration between the Two Plans

5-1. Monetization of Unitas
5-2. The Final Phase of the Negotiations

II. Keynes’s Stance Evaluated